ZR
10-03-2017, 02:43 AM
Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals are in trouble.
A new Forum Research poll (http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2788/ontario-horserace-september-2017) shows the Progressive Conservatives strengthening their lead over both the NDP and Liberals in Ontario.
Despite a slight dip in popularity in August, Patrick Brown’s PCs are leading in five of the province’s six regions; they are tied with the Liberals in Toronto, which is bad news for the Ontario Liberal Caucus.
Were an election to be held tomorrow, it would be Brown’s to lose — current polling numbers give Brown and the Progressive Conservatives an 84 seat majority and the NDP as official opposition with 26 seats.
Predictions put the Liberals at 12 seats.
Of course, the election is not for another nine months and various elements, including campaign promises, might alter those numbers.
But as Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research, points out, “As the election grows nearer, every month with a PC lead means it’s more likely the vote is solidifying behind Brown.”
Or solidifying away from Wynne.
Some read the current polls as more a measure of Wynne’s unpopularity than a show of support for any other party.
Patrick Brown is still an unknown quantity for many in the province and isn’t particularly popular otherwise with a 30% disapproval rate. There’s also ongoing scuffling within the PC ranks over his leadership.
The NDP’s Andrea Horwath is the most popular provincial leader.
Forum Research polled 801 Ontario voters for these results, which are considered accurate within 3%, 19 times out of 20.
https://dynamicmedia.zuza.com/zz/m/original_/4/a/4a389a86-d903-4350-b990-20f5b4825502/121015_NEASE_(Naughty_Report)___Gallery.jpg
A new Forum Research poll (http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2788/ontario-horserace-september-2017) shows the Progressive Conservatives strengthening their lead over both the NDP and Liberals in Ontario.
Despite a slight dip in popularity in August, Patrick Brown’s PCs are leading in five of the province’s six regions; they are tied with the Liberals in Toronto, which is bad news for the Ontario Liberal Caucus.
Were an election to be held tomorrow, it would be Brown’s to lose — current polling numbers give Brown and the Progressive Conservatives an 84 seat majority and the NDP as official opposition with 26 seats.
Predictions put the Liberals at 12 seats.
Of course, the election is not for another nine months and various elements, including campaign promises, might alter those numbers.
But as Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research, points out, “As the election grows nearer, every month with a PC lead means it’s more likely the vote is solidifying behind Brown.”
Or solidifying away from Wynne.
Some read the current polls as more a measure of Wynne’s unpopularity than a show of support for any other party.
Patrick Brown is still an unknown quantity for many in the province and isn’t particularly popular otherwise with a 30% disapproval rate. There’s also ongoing scuffling within the PC ranks over his leadership.
The NDP’s Andrea Horwath is the most popular provincial leader.
Forum Research polled 801 Ontario voters for these results, which are considered accurate within 3%, 19 times out of 20.
https://dynamicmedia.zuza.com/zz/m/original_/4/a/4a389a86-d903-4350-b990-20f5b4825502/121015_NEASE_(Naughty_Report)___Gallery.jpg